Telangana-Cutting off from the rest of India

On the boil- pic by

Day 25 and not a solution in sight. With a loss of over Rs 14000 crore, there seems to be no end to the Telangana agitation. Although it was quieter in the past couple of days due to the festival, the days ahead look tough since the ongoing Telangana Joint Action Committee has already decided that it would conducted a rail rokho programme between October 9 to 11th.

The second leg of the agitation is going to be even worse with the Telangana activists deciding to cut off Telangana from the rest of the regions. This would be a high impact agitation since major roads will be blocked, the production of coal will suffer further and neighbouring states depending on Telangana for rice and sugar will be affected further.

Telangana activists and members of the Joint Action Committee say that the protest at Singareni has had an impact on the neighbouring states especially Karnataka where power supply is concerned. This means that another state has taken note of our protest and they in turn will protest which only makes the issue bigger. We intend to do the same and would want to ensure that the rest of Andhra bears the brunt of this protest. There is already a deficit of 56 million units of power in the state and this problem has spilled over the neighbouring states where complains have already begun. If the protests continue this way then it wont be too long before the farming community starts to bear the brunt of the protest. The government has already planned 6 hour power cuts in the Telangana region. However it is only a matter of time before the government will have to take some concrete action since the daily losses due to this part of the strike is around Rs 25 crore.

So far 10000 buses have stopped plying and the State Road Transport Corporation is already complaining that it has been losing nearly Rs 8 crore a day. The scenario among the private bus owners is also very bad and they run the risk of plying their vehicles in Telangana since at some places the protests have turned violent. The police personnel too have said that private buses would be plying in the Telangana region at their own risk as it is impossible to provide security to each and every vehicle that enters into the region.

Telangana activists say that the losses are mounting but the government continues to remain adamant. The Telangana region has not seen any governance in the past 25 days and this has resulted in a loss of Rs 200 crore per day.Hyderabadis the capital of the state and it remains shut with most of the employees staying away from work and this is causing the government a Rs 200 crore loss per day. Accordng to the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India the loss in the first 15 days of the strike was Rs 10000 crore. Now with a rail rokho coming up the losses are expected to shoot up further.

Some activists are of the opinion that K Chandrasekara Rao could have done better in this agitation. He has gone toDelhiand done nothing. Instead he should sit inHyderabadand interact with the protestors. Our next line of protest would be to cut Telangana off from the rest of the country. Many states will bear the brunt of such a protest. The people of Telangana too will suffer but they say that they are ready to bear this brunt.

The basic idea of this protest in the second phase would be to ensure that people from other states too sit up and take notice. As of now the losses and the problems have been restricted to Andhra Pradesh alone, but if other states start to get involved in this then the solution would come sooner. If Telangana is cut off then the problems are immense. The connectivity betweenBangaloreandNagpurgets cut off since no transportation would be available on this route since it has to go through Telangana.Vijayawadawhich is also a major business centre also gets cut off since the route to Mahrashtra is again throughHyderabadwhich is in Telangana.

In addition to this there would be a major impact on the export of rice and sugar. Rice production is the highest in Karimnagar which falls under Telangana and if this region is cut off then there cannot be any export of rice. Similarly sugar too is produced extensively in Nizambad again under Telangana and this agitation will affect the export of sugar too. Thanks to this there would be a shortage of rice and sugar in the neighbouring states which rely on Telangana for the same.

However the people of Andhra will be the most affected since this strike would cut them off from the Telangana region. Many from the rest of Andhra Pradesh have business interests especially inHyderabadand cutting off all communication would have a direct impact on them. Their major connectivity is throughHyderabadand the closure of these routes will affect them severely. However the people of Telangana too will bear the brunt of this protest since they depend heavily on other parts for their essential commodities. However as of now they claim that they can manage since they will learn to be self sufficient and for now manage with rice and pickle in order to survive. The activists say that they have prepared the people for this second leg of the protest and the people are up to the task.

Delhi blasts-why is there a mailing spree on?

It is a perfect ploy that has been adapted by these terrorist groups. A third email has been sent out in three days after the Delhi blasts and this gives a clear indication that the intention is to confuse investigating agencies.
There is a bit insanity in the manner in which this case is being probed today. Every theory has wrong till date. The get away car which they thought was the vehicle of terror turned out to be stolen car and had nothing to do with the crime. Secondly the sketches which were drawn out in a hurry turned out to be wrong images according to the NIA. This has now prompted them to put out a new sketch. The interrogation of the various men who have been picked up till date in connection with the blast is moving at a very slow pace. These are just suspects and investigating agencies say that they are looking for leads from them although prima facie it does not appear they were directly connected with the crime.
The email culture after a blast which was made famous by the Indian Mujahideen was once a weapon for the police. However today it has become a nightmare since it is taking the police a step backward. On day one they were on the HuJi trail based on the mail. The mail clearly states that the judiciary would be under attack and that was the theory that they were working on. The probe did go in one particular direction and some members of the HuJi were even picked up.
The second day however there was another mail that was sent out which took the NIA into another spin and they started to explore the IM angle since this mail was alleged to have been sent by the outfit. Just when this angle was being probed there came another mail today which speaks about carrying out an attack in Ahmedabad.
What such mails tend to do is throw the investigating agency off guard and the resources are more about safeguarding the city. Moreover despite the IM being down today, the police have learnt from the Ahmedabad blasts experience where a mail was sent out a couple of minutes before the attack warning about the blasts.
The IM had the most sophisticated technical cell and they used technology to their advantage. They played the cat and mouse game with the police very well with the police and did manage success to a large extent. The likes of Mansoor Pheerbhoy may be arrested and Abdus Subhan absconding, but that it not good enough to say that they technical cell has been busted. There are many more boys who are out on the lose who are capable of sending such mails bouncing them off proxy servers.
Sources in the investigating team say that this is the third mail till date and it cannot be merely dismissed as mischief. Whoever is sending them out has a motive behind it and it could all have been sent from one place while bouncing them off servers of different places. A mischief monger may not take such a big risk of dealing with a case of terrorism knowing fully well what the consequences are. Although the person sending out the mail may not have anything to do with the attack, he would be still interested in sending it out to confuse the investigators. A couple of boys from the IM are capable of this since they would be trying to send out a message that they are still active. Although they may have not carried out this attack they would still want to show that they are in business. The NIA is in touch with Google for more details on the mail and are expecting some answers in the next couple of days.
The probe today is centric around these mails since the police believe that there could be more to it. Apart from trying and finding out the origins, they would also study the pattern. For starters it does not appear to be a typical mail that an IM would send out. However one cannot rule out the possibility of a change in strategy, investigating authorities also pointed out.