Assembly elections: BJP loses vote share, but not all to Congress

congbjpNew Delhi, Dec 12: With the BJP suffering losses in three key states, its vote share has taken a sharp dip in Chattisgarh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh since the last assembly elections in 2013, but all these votes do not seem to have gone to the Congress alone as other players have also reaped the gains.

Was the Madhya Pradesh election really a cliffhanger?

bjp-congress444New Delhi, Dec 11: Was the Madhya Pradesh elections really a cliffhanger? Several news channels barring the regional ones said all day long that the MP elections were too close to call. The leads kept changing and at time it appeared as though the BJP would cross the magic mark comfortably.

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Why the assembly polls in 5 states will be a clear pre-cursor to the 2019 LS elections

voting-11New Delhi, Oct 8: The upcoming elections in the five states are expected to throw up an interesting challenge. These polls are important in the context of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, which has already been dubbed as the mother of all polls.

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EC equipped to hold LS, Assembly elections by Sep 2018

voteBy September 2018, the Election Commission of India will be able to hold simultaneous to both the Lok Sabha and Assemblies. The EC while launching a web based application, Electoral Registration Officer network said that the commission would be logistically equipped to hold simultaneous elections by September 2018.

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Can Budget be postponed in view of assembly elections?

budgetNew Delhi, Jan 5: The Opposition has demanded the postponement of the presentation of the Union Budget till March 8.

The ball now lies in the court of the Election Commission of India which announced election dates for five states on Wednesday. The poll bound states are Uttar Pradesh, Goa, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Punjab.

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Report finds how did Tamil Nadu MLA’s spend their money in the previous elections

TamilNadu_1Bengaluru, Mar 17: Money flows in all quarters during an election. With the assembly elections to various states coming up, it would be interesting to take a look at the spending pattern.
This report would focus on how the MLAs in Tamil Nadu had spent during the 2011 elections which was won by the AIDMK.

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Cong has become a bottomless pit

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I do not give the Congress more than 50 seats in the 2014 elections and the results today are only an indicator that the party has become a bottom less pit as the fall was so deep. G V L Rao, advisor to Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chuvan says that although these elections were factored around the state leadership, the national mood with Narendra Modi at the helm of affairs has been reflected.

Continue reading “Cong has become a bottomless pit”

19 criminal candidates in Uttarakhand Assembly

Uttarakhand has 19 criminal candidates in its newly elected assembly as per a report by the Association for Democratic Reforms.
Out of these 70 MLAs analyzed for Uttarakhand Assembly Elections, 19 (27%) have declared criminal cases against them. In 2007 Assembly elections for the whole of Uttarakhand Pradesh, 24% MLAs had declared criminal cases against themselves.
Out of these 19 MLAs who have declared criminal cases against themselves, 5 (7%) have declared serious criminal cases against themselves.
A total of 32 out of 70 MLAs i.e. 46% are crorepatis. In 2007, there are 16% crorepati MLAs.
The MLAs with maximum assets in 2012 Uttarakhand Assembly is Rajesh Shukla of BJP from Kichha constituency with assets worth Rs. 26.63 Crores followed by Amrita Rawat of INC from Ramnagar with Rs. 13.57 Crores and Surendra Singh Jeena of BJP from Salt constituency with assets worth Rs. 7.04 crores.
3 MLAs have declared assets of less than 10 lakh.
A total of 6 (9%) MLAs out of 70 analyzed declared liabilities of Rs. 40 lakhs or above.
Among major parties, the average asset per MLA for INC is 1.87 Crore, for BJP is 2.02 Crore, for BSP is 1.21 crores and for UKD (P) is 1.27 Crores.
71% MLAs (50 of 70 analyzed) are graduates and above.
Out of 70 MLAs in Uttarakhand Assembly Elections 2012, only 5 (7%) MLAs are women.

Asset Increase:
Number of re-contesting MLAs analyzed for Uttarakhand 2012 Assembly Elections– 50
The average asset of these MLAs as declared in 2007 is Rs83,34,174(83.34 Lakhs).
The average asset of these MLAs as declared in 2012 is, Rs 2,30,46,876 (2.30 Crore).
Average asset growth for these re-contesting MLAs is Rs 1,47,12,701 (1.47 Crore).
Average percentage growth in assets for these MLA is 177%.
Rajesh Shukla of BJP from Kichha constituency has shown the highest increase in asset worth Rs.25.76 Crores (from 87.57 Lakhs in 2007 to 26.63 Crores in 2012), followed by Surendra Singh Jeena of BJP from Salt constituency with an asset increase of Rs. 6.26 Crores (from 78.00 Lakhs in 2007 to 7.04 Crores in 2012) and Yashpal Arya of INC from Bazpur constituency with an asset increase of Rs. 3.71 Crores (from 81.62 Lakhs in 2007 to 4.52 Crores in 2012).
The highest percentage increase (8433%) has been for Bishan Singh Chuphal of BJP from Didihat constituency. His assets rose from 1.18 Lakhs in 2007 to 1.01 Crores in 2012. He is followed by Mayukh Singh of INC from Pithoragarh constituency with a percentage increase of 4773% (from 6.30 Lakhs in 2007 to 3.07 Crores in 2012) and Banshidhar Bhagat of BJP from Kaladhungi constituency with an increase of 2968% (from 2.38 Lakhs in 2007 to 73.02 Lakhs in 2012).

UP’s criminal- The list only gets longer

The story of Uttar Pradesh in the third phase of the assembly elections is no different. 121 candidates out of the 317 contesting the 3rd phase have criminal candidates pending against them.
The. Association for Democratic Reforms and the National Election in its report states that 38 per cent of the candidates have criminal records against them. This is a shameful figure as in the year 2007 there were 28 per cent criminals for the whole of Uttar Pradesh.
Among these 121 candidates of 3rd Phase who have declared criminal cases against themselves, Brikesh Singh (Pragatisheel Manav Samaj Party), contesting from Saiyadraja constituenc has declared maximum number of criminal cases. He has declared 39 criminal cases including 57 serious IPCs. He is followed by Atiq Ahmad of Apna Dal contesting from Allahabad West constituency with 44 criminal cases and 26 serious IPCs and Ajay Prakash Singh of Peace Party from Lambhua constituency with 21 cases and 18 serious IPCs.
Amongst major parties, every party has given tickets to candidates who have declared criminal cases. SP has 30 out of 56 (54 %), BSP has 21 out of 56 (38 %), BJP has 25 out of 55 (46 %), INC has 16 out of 52 (31 %), Peace Party has 4 out of 7 (57 %), JD(U) has 4 out of 34 (12 %), candidates with declared criminal cases.
Out of these 121 candidates with declared criminal cases, 61 (19 %) have declared serious criminal cases like murder, attempt to murder, kidnapping, robbery, extortion etc. BJP has 11 , BSP has 10 , SP has 18 , Peace Party has 3 , INC has 8 , JD(U) has 1, Quami Ekta Dal has 3 and Apna Dal has 5 such candidates.
A total of 122 candidates out of 317 analyzed for the 3rd Phase i.e. 39% are crorepatis. In 2007, there were 22% crorepati candidates.
The candidates with maximum assets in 3rd Phase are Nand Gopal of BSP from Allahabad South constituency with assets worth 95.26 Crores followed by Tanveer of INC from Bhadohi with 21.20 Crores and Atiq Ahmad of Apna Dal from Allahabad constituency with assets worth 20.79 crores.
6 Candidates have declared assets less than 1 lakh.
A total of 12 candidates out of 317 analyzed declared liabilities of 1 Crore and above.
Among major parties, the average asset per candidate for SP is 1.99 Crores, For BSP is 3.68 Crores, for BJP is 1.39 Crores, For INC is 2.18 Crores, For Peace Party is 1.71 Crores, For JD (U) is 22.98 Lakhs, Quami Ekta Dal is 68.81 Lakhs and Apna Dal is 1.33 Crores.
193 out of 317 candidates analyzed i.e. 61% are graduates or with higher educational qualifications.
Out of 1029 candidates contesting for 3rd Phase of Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections 2012, only 78(8%) candidates are women; the number of women candidates for BSP is 4(7%) out of 56, for BJP it is 6(11%) out of 55, INC it is 3(6%) out of 52 and SP it is 5(9%) out of 56.

Report on asset increase details of MLAs re-contesting in the 3rd Phase.
Number of re-contesting MLAs analyzed for 3rd phase of UP 2012 Assembly Elections– 35
The average asset of these MLAs as declared in 2007 is Rs 1,42,63,643 (1.42 crores).
The average asset of these MLAs as declared in 2012 is, Rs 5,84,26,250 (5.84 crore).
Average asset growth for these re-contesting MLAs is Rs 4,41,62,607 (4.41 crore).
Average percentage growth in assets for these MLA is 310%.
Nand Gopal of BSP from Allahabad South has the highest increase in asset worth Rs.79.94 Crores, followed by Anoop Sanda of SP from Sultanpur with an asset increase of Rs. 8.78 Crores and Ameeta Singh of INC from Amethi constituency with an asset increase of Rs. 8.48 Crores.
The highest percentage increase (7922%) has been for Jitendra Kumar of BSP from Chakia (SC) constituency. His assets rose from 2.37 lakhs in 2007 to 1.90 crores in 2012. He is followed by Pooja Pal of BSP from Allahabad West constituency with a percentage increase of 3027% (3.55 lakhs in 2007 to 1.11 crore in 2012) and Chandra Prakash of BSP from Gauriganj constituency with an increase of 1846% (24.22 lakhs in 2007 to 4.71 crores in 2012).
Highlights (Report on the Income tax returns and

PAN details :
Vijay Kumar (SP) has the highest annual income at Rs. 93.38 Lakhs followed by Nand Gopal (BSP) at Rs. 78.36 Lakhs, Tanveer (INC) at Rs. 53.78 Lakhs and Keshari Nath Tripathi(BJP) at Rs. 49.32 Lakhs as per their last filed Income Tax Returns.
A total of 135 candidates (43%) out of the 317 candidates analyzed by the Uttar Pradesh Election Watch have declared that they have never filed income tax returns.
Out of the 135 candidates analyzed who have never filed income tax returns, BJP has the maximum number of candidates 25 (45%) out of 55 candidates, followed by JD (U) – 24 (71%) out of 34 candidates, INC has 22 (42%) out of 52 candidates, SP has 20 (36%) out of 56 candidates, Apna Dal has 19(58%) out of 33, Quami Ekta Dal has 14(78%) out of 18, BSP has 7 (13%) out of 56 candidates and Peace Party has 3(43%) out of 7 candidates who have not filed IT Returns.
Top 3 candidates with maximum assets but who have never filed IT returns are Siraj Ahmad Khan of Quami Ekta Dal contesting from Malhani has the highest total assets of Rs. 2.73 crores, followed by Abdul Hadi of Peace Party from Bhadohi with assets of Rs. 1.82 crores and Deepchand Jain of INC from Mirzapur with Rs. 1.75 crores respectively.
74(23%) candidates have not declared their PAN details of which JD (U) has the maximum number of candidates i.e. 20 out of 34, Apna Dal has 12 out 33 candidates, BJP have 12 out of 55, Quami Ekta Dal has 10 out of 18 candidates, SP have 9 out of 56 candidates, INC have 5 out of 52, BSP have 3 out of 56 and Peace party have 2 out of 7 candidates analyzed who have not declared their PAN card details.
Top three candidates with maximum assets but not declared their PAN card details are Abdul Hadi of Peace Party contesting from Bhadohi constituency has the highest assets with worth Rs. 1.82 Crores, followed by Raj Narayan Singh of INC from Obra with assets of Rs. 1.66 crores and Jwala Prasad of Apna Dal from Mungra Badshahpur with Rs. 1.34 crores respectively.

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Criminals and crorepatis in UK

The Indian National Congress leads the pack at Uttarkhand with 16 candidates with a criminal record. A report prepared by the Association of Democratic reforms states that INC has 16 out of 70 (i.e. 23%) candidates with pending criminal cases, BSP has 14 out of 70 (20%), BJP had 13 out of 70 (19%) and UKD(P) had 7 out of 44 (16%) candidates with pending criminal cases against them.
Out of candidates analyzed, 53 candidates (i.e. 19%) have declared criminal cases against them. In 2007 assembly elections, 18% of candidates had declared criminal cases against themselves.
Out of these 53 candidates with pending criminal cases, 14 candidates have pending serious criminal cases like extortion, theft, bribery and attempt to murder.
A total of 88 candidates out of 278 analyzed (32%) are crorepatis. In the 2007 assembly elections, only 11% candidates were crorepats. A total of 43 candidates out of 278 analyzed declared liabilities of more than 20 lakhs.
Among major parties, the average asset of a candidate for BJP is Rs 1.45 crores and for INC is Rs 1.46 crores, for BSP is Rs 1.19 crore and for UKD (P) is Rs 38.08 lakhs.
181 candidates out of 278 analyzed i.e. 65% are graduates or have higher educational qualifications.
Out of 788 candidates, only 62 candidates (i.e. 7.9 %) are women; the number of women candidates for BJP is 6 out of 70 candidates (9%), for INC it is 8 out of 70 candidates (11%), for BSP it is 3 out of 70 candidates (4%) and for UKD (P) it is only 3 out of 44 candidates (7%).
Data on re-contesting MLAs
Re-contesting MLAs analyzed in this report – 53
The average assets of these MLAs as declared in 2007 is Rs87,22,372 (87.22 lakhs)
The average assets of these MLAs as declared in 2012 is Rs 1,79,52,563 (1.79 Crore)
Average asset growth for these re-contesting MLAs is Rs 92,30,190 (92.3 lakhs)
Average percentage growth in assets for these MLA is 106%

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