New Delhi, July 12: In the early 1990s, the Research and Analysis Wing carried out a daredevil operation in Bangladesh against the activities of the Jamaat-e-Islami. The intention behind the operation was a larger one and India was clearly worried about the rise of illegal immigration which the Jamaat was carrying out at the behest of the ISI.
Pakistan and China and indulging in a proxy war and are encouraging illegal immigration into Assam, Indian Army chief, General Bipin Rawat said.
The investigation being conducted following the arrest of the Ansarul Bangla Team terrorists has thrown up several details. Samsad Mia and Riazul Islam who were first arrested had travelled to Hyderabad and Karnataka and lived among Bangladeshis.
Chief Minister of Assam, Sarbanand Sonowal has assured that he would tackle the issue effectively in the next two years. Looking at the situation, the government would have to effectively tackle the situation as soon as possible as it is turning into a ticking time bomb.
There are 2465 citizens of the United States of America overstaying in India when compared to the 1141 Pakistanis. A report by the Home Ministry of India shows that the US citizes overstay more than the Pakistanis. However the citizens of Bangladesh top the list with 16530.
Despite talk of security being beefed up and thorough checks, the number of persons who overstay has only gone up in the past couple of years. Post 26/11 this problem was taken into consideration and the David Headley episode should have been a learning curve. However in the year 2008 the number of citizens overstaying was 65149 and in the past five years it has increased to 71164.
While the Bangladeshis top the list coming second are the Afghans with 13999. Officials say that these persons come on valid visas and then go off the radar.
Security is an elaborate issue and at every corner of the country, there is a problem which is big in its own right. The former Special Director of the Intelligence Bureau Ravindra Narayan Ravi is an expert on matters of security. In this interview with rediff.com Ravindra Narayan Ravi discusses the various issues daunting India and also states that NIA could not pursue with professional vigor its very first case due to political interference and was forced to soft-pedal the case against dreaded terrorists.
Assam is not an issue that one can ignore. In the wake of the horrific riots and the large exodus that followed one could safely conclude that the government ought to act on this issue as it has become a ticking bomb. What started off as an ethnic clash has been given a communal colour and the issue spread across the country like wild fire.
Jaideep Saikia, noted terrorism and conflict analyst who has authored the book, Terror Sans Frontiers says in this interview with rediff.com that The communal explanation—that is being touted in certain circles amid the recent violence that has erupted in Assam’s BTAD—is flawed. He points out that dispensations in both New Delhi and Dispur have turned a blind eye to the problem of illegal migration.
Sir, is the current strife in Assam ethnic or communal?
It is quite clearly conflict over land, between communities. Indeed, land stands right at the heart of almost all conflict in North East India. Perched cheek-by-jowl, tribal communities of differing hues have—on punctuated occasions—wrested for rights over land. Immigrant Bengalis have fought the ethnic tribals in Tripura; Kukis have battled Nagas in Manipur and immigrant Muslims have clashed with the Bodos in Assam, as have the latter with the Santhal community of the state. Even a perfunctory assessment of the inconsistencies in the region cannot substantiate the convenient explanation about such conflicts being sired by religious considerations—even when the Muslim community is involved. The communal explanation—that is being touted in certain circles amid the recent violence that has erupted in Assam’s BTAD—is flawed.
The government has claimed that illegal immigration into Assam has stopped long ago. If this is the case why has the violence erupted to such an extent today?
Illegal migration is continuing. Dispensations in both New Delhi and Dispur have turned a blind eye to the problem of illegal migration, perhaps because of political expedience. But, the violence in BTAD is not a result of fresh migration from Bangladesh, but because a stray incident involving different communities triggered off long-standing animosities, primarily over land.
What according to you fueled the violence and did agencies such as ISI and DGFI play a role in fueling the tension?
The lynching of four former Bodo Liberation Tigers cadres in Joypur near Kokrajhar on the night of 21 July 2012 seems to have been the immediate provocation. Pakistani surrogates—according to reports—played a role in fuelling the tension. But this was after the riots broke out. This was reportedly done by sending SMSs and MMSs all over India, thereby triggering an exodus of North Easterners from places such as Bangalore and Hyderabad. But the hand of interest groups inside India cannot be discounted.
Does DGFI continue to encourage the illegal influx and if yes how have they gained?
Lebensraum in the east has been a well grounded agenda for anti-India forces. However, one aspect that must be comprehended is that almost all migration from Bangladesh is economic. It is the poorest of the poor that migrate to India. The reason ranges from economic deprivation in the erstwhile East Pakistan to better opportunities in India. It would also be of import to note that global warming and the rising Bay of Bengal will flood 1/4th of Bangladesh. Inhabitants of the lost land will enter India and the influx would have increased manifold.
What roles have the governments of both BJP and Congress played in tackling illegal migration?
Unfortunately neither BJP (when in office) nor Congress did much to rein in the situation. As aforesaid, political expedience seems to be the driver for all political formations. In all fairness it must be said that BJP has at least been raising the issue of illegal migration and NRC update etc, especially after the violence in BTAD. But, even Assam chief minister, Tarun Gogoi made a statement on 30th of August that the NRC updation—perhaps the only way to resolve the illegal migration issue—would be completed within the next three years. Now, this new-found concern cutting across party lines is heartening. One only hopes that a correct follow-through would take place.
The focus has primarily been on Kashmir. But you have written in detail about the threat the nation faces through these forces in Assam. Has the government and our agencies woken up to this threat or does Assam continue to be a ticking bomb?
The bomb is ticking. The government has to take active remedial measures, and without delay. The recent realisation by North Block mandarins that Pakistani surrogates were involved in the recent crisis is a starter.
Tell us more about the nexus between Islamic militancy and the demographic challenges in the North East?
I make a distinction between ISLAMIC and ISLAMIST, the latter being a classification that is erroneously seeking to utilise Islam as a means to further terror: I am quite clear that Islam does not promote terror. Indeed, I have caveated this aspect right in the beginning of my book Terror Sans Frontiers: Islamist Militancy in North East India that I penned almost a decade ago. The fact that the age-old search for lebensraum in the east would witness an Islamist spill-over from Bangladesh was clear to me way back in 2002. 9/11 had happened and it was a matter of time before the Islamists sought newer pastures—especially after Op Enduring Freedom and the partial detalibanisation of Afghanistan. Bangladesh and the lower Assam districts provide both a gateway to the rest of India for operations and an after-action pull back area. But, it must be said that unlike other states in India the Islamists were not engaging the establishment in the North East. They did not want to attract attention. As I wrote in my book, the Islamists are silent, not by the absence of activity but by the presence of non-activity. But, it seems that the demise of ethnic militancy in the region has activated them, albeit in a manner that we are presently witnessing. Moreover, the loyalties of the illegal migrants from Bangladesh continue to be informed from across the border. The assamisation process that certain scholars talk about is not taking place despite the fact that such migrants are taking on Assamese sounding names such as Raju and Mamoni. Also, almost all social formations in the region have their own militias. The vanguards for the Islamists are being provided by the illegal migrants. The increased presence of illegal migrants from Bangladesh is witnessing the growth of Islamist militant groups in the region and even the MHA has recently drawn up a list of such groups.
As you have mentioned the MHA has recently come out with a list of Muslim Fundamentalist Organisations active in Assam and Manipur. There seems to be distinct similarities between the list you had appended in your book Terror Sans Frontiers almost a decade ago and the MHA list of today. Comments.
I haven’t the faintest idea from where MHA culled the list from. I am certain that the Ministry has better sources than I.
Sir, you say that the issue is about terrorism and not religion. Could you elaborate on this point? Also is there a danger that religion could become the focus in the days to come?
Terrorism is, first and foremost, a tactic that involves the threat and use of violence in order to achieve a political goal. The goal may be formulated in ideological or religious terms, but it invariably retains a political component. Simply put, if there is no political motivation behind a terrorist attack, it can be said that terrorism is not involved. I have spelt this out in my eighth book, Terrorism: Patterns of Internationalization. I am of the opinion that religion is being used by a new interest group to harness puritans among the faithful for diabolic action. The people who task the puritans are no religious zealots, but ones with a clear political agenda. The agenda is to bleed India with a thousand cuts. I hope and pray that this agenda in the land of Srimanta Sankardeva and Azan Pir can be frustrated.
Which are the strongest militant groups in the North East today?
NSCN (IM), UNLF and PLA (Manipur) continue to be the strongest militant organisations.
A regime change in Bangladesh is expected and Khaleda Zia is likely to return to power. How would that change the equations in the North East?
BNP is generally considered to be the anti-thesis of Awami League which is considered to be somewhat pro-India. The bright side is that Sheikh Hasina has already delivered to India on the issue of ULFA and NDFB to a considerable extent, and it is only a matter of speculation about how the fortunes of the North East would change were Khaleda Zia to return to power. Islamism—the barrack politics of Bangladesh that sired BNP needs the cloak of Islam to retain power—would certainly receive a fillip and the crackdown on the remaining North East militants—billeted in Bangladesh—would witness demise.
How do you think this issue could be resolved?
Correct diplomatic pressure by New Delhi on Dhaka, even if it borders on coercion. Especially as it is perfectly capable of it.
Several persons dead and 17000 people homeless. This has been the result of the Assam riots at Kokrajhar. There are various reasons that have been pointed out for this incident which range from illegal immigration and also local issues.
The government of India has said that it is a local issue. Former Home Secretary of India, G K Pillai also told rediff.com that it is an issue that is local in nature and it needs the local leaders to sit across the table and sort it out.
The fight between the indigenous Bodo tribes and Muslim settlers in Kokrajhar could well erupt yet again if the issue is not sorted out amicably, sources in the Intelligence Bureau tell rediff.com. It is not an international issue and can be dealt with the leaders within the state, they point out.
The fact of the matter is that this is not exactly a new issue and has been on the boil for several years now. There has always been tension between the indigenous groups and the Muslim Bengali migrants for many years. Pillai points out that the new immigrant issue is not the reason. This is mainly because there are no new immigrants and that matter has been sorted out long back. The Bangladeshis have not been coming into Assam and are settling in other states. Hence that issue of new illegal immigrants is a saturated one, he pointed out.
The violence at Kokrajhar started when a man killed four youth in an area which was dominated by the Bodo tribe. The Bodos as a retaliatory measure attacked the Muslims and this led to violent clashes.
What one can make out while speaking to the experts is that this issue is not communal in nature. It is more to do with the fact that there is a major issue over land and this is why the riots erupted in the first place. It is to do with control of land and Kokrajhar was under the control of the Bodos. It was during the time of the British that settlers from East Bengal started coming into this area. They worked on the fields and gradually started becoming part of the land. Moreover they were able to earn a good sum of money as they were very hard working. Over the years there was a major migration of Muslims into these areas and the population grew by leaps and bounds. During the process the Muslim migrants procured land from the Bodos and over a period of time they outnumbered the Bodos in this area.
While the Bodos at first did not see this to be a major problem and did use many of these migrants for their own work, over a period of time they did realise that a major part of the control was slipping out their hands and also the lands were being taken away by these migrants. This in turn caused a great deal of problems for them.
Since then the Bodos have always targeted the Muslims in this area. Although there is a communal colour being given, it never was the issue. The fight was more for control of land than religion, sources also point out. During those years there was a major influx of Bangladeshi Muslims and the fact that they managed to outnumber the Bodos caused a great deal of heart burn.
Pillai points out that these problems are old and keep flaring up. The handling has been slack and if a proper plan is in place then it would be solved. The IB points out that the issue is social and the clashes for supremacy over land has been going on for a long time now. However clashes of this nature have been on the rise a lot since the 1990s and hence the experts feel that the local leaders need to step in and sort out this issue failing which we will see many more such clashes in the days to come.