The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Congress appear to be on an even footing in Karnataka. The Congress relies on the Dalit, Other Backward Class (OBC) and minority votes while the BJP has the backing of the Lingayats and Brahmins.
Taking into account these combinations, both parties have a minimum assured vote share of 24 per cent each in the state. This would mean that the deciding factor would be the Vokkaliga votes which are usually divided between the Congress and Janata Dal (Secular) or JD(S). The Vokkaligas make up for around 11.82 per cent of the population and are heavily concentrated in the Old Mysore region, where the BJP has not been a strong player.
This would mean that both parties would make that additional push for the all important Vokkaliga votes, especially in the old Mysore or southern region of Karnataka.