There have been various reports put out by our Intelligence Agencies which speak about the threat perception of our leaders. Clearly all the reports which have come out in the recent months have stated that the BJP’s Prime Ministerial candidate, Narendra Modi tops that list.
While there is no doubt that Modi is very high on the radar of terrorists, the other important point to ponder over here is why will Pakistan take such a risk and support his elimination.
C D Sahay, former Chief of the Research and Analysis Wing gives rediff.com a perspective of the Pakistan thinking on Modi.
Speaking of such threats one needs to understand that there are two kinds of threats where individuals are concerned. The first one is person specific and the second position specific. In the case of Narendra Modi ever since he was chosen to be the Prime Ministerial candidate of the BJP he faces both a person and position specific threat, Sahay says.
The former RAW chief also points out that Modi without a doubt is being watched all over the world especially in Pakistan. The threat person of Modi gets accentuated by the likely emergence of him becoming a major player in national politics. People in India are already going gaga over the fact that he may become the Prime Minister very soon.
It is clear says Sahay that Pakistan and its sponsored local groups pose the greatest threat to him. Generally Pakistan has been saying that they have no issue who ever is elected in India and also go on to add that they had great dealings with the National Democratic Alliance under Atal B Vajpayee. They would continue to say for public consumption that they have no issue even if Modi comes to power. However what is worrying is the other stream of thought within Pakistan. They are sure that the reaction to a 26/11 type attack would not be the same as it was. If Modi in power and a similar attack were to take place, Pakistan is well aware that the reaction will be entirely different. Pakistan will face a major implication in such a scenario as they are aware that he will not take it lying down¸ Sahay says.
Further the former RAW chief also points out that Pakistan would like Modi to be drawn into an internal conflict when compared to an external one. Any major attempt to target him will lead to major communal violence in India as the attack would be stage managed by the local groups at the behest of Pakistan. Such communal riots will force him to respond and react internally and if this were to happen Pakistan would have achieved what it is looking for.